Bank of Canada cuts key interest rate to 4.5%: Impact on the Real Estate Market

Bank of Canada Cuts Rates: What This Means for Your Real Estate Investments

On July 24, 2024, the Bank of Canada made a noteworthy move by reducing its policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 4½%. This adjustment, part of the Bank's ongoing balance sheet normalization, also sets the Bank Rate at 4¾% and the deposit rate at 4½%.

This recent rate cut is likely to influence the real estate market in several ways. Globally, economic expansion is projected to continue at a rate of about 3% annually through 2026, and while inflation remains above targets in many advanced economies, it is expected to ease over time. In the United States, economic activity is slowing with moderated consumer spending and a downward trend in inflation. The euro area is seeing a rebound, and China's economy is growing modestly, driven by strong exports despite weak domestic demand.

In Canada, economic growth for the first half of 2024 has been around 1½%, but it is being overshadowed by a population growth of about 3%, leading to increased excess supply. Consumer spending and housing activity have been relatively weak, with the labour market showing signs of strain, including a rise in the unemployment rate to 6.4%.

For the real estate market, the Bank's decision to lower interest rates could have several impacts:

  • Borrowing Costs: Reduced rates may lower mortgage costs, making homeownership more affordable and potentially boosting housing demand.
  • Housing Market Activity: Lower interest rates could stimulate both buyer and seller activity, as reduced borrowing costs might encourage more transactions.
  • Investment: The real estate sector may see increased investment, particularly in residential properties, as lower rates make financing more attractive.

The Bank of Canada's forecast for GDP growth is optimistic, predicting 1.2% for 2024, 2.1% for 2025, and 2.4% for 2026. This growth, supported by stronger exports and increased investment, may further impact the real estate market positively.

With inflationary pressures showing signs of easing and expectations for CPI inflation to settle around the 2% target next year, the real estate market could benefit from a more stable economic environment and lower borrowing costs.

As the Bank continues to monitor economic conditions and adjust its policies accordingly, real estate professionals and potential buyers should stay informed about these changes and how they may affect market dynamics.

Source: Bank of Canada

Share This Article

September 28, 2026
Join us October 16th for a Special Night of Hockey & Heart Last year, we raised over $10,000 for local wish kids. This year, we’re aiming to do even more! On Friday, October 16, the Storm’s Cause Marketing Game, sponsored by Coldwell Banker, will donate 50/50 proceeds to the Guelph Wish Fund for Children. For over 40 years, the Guelph Wish Fund has helped children in Guelph and Wellington County facing serious illness, medical challenges, or significant disabilities—creating moments of joy, hope, and unforgettable memories for them and their families. Every ticket helps make a difference for a local child. Join us in supporting these young heroes, both on and off the ice.
September 22, 2026
As of September 21, 2026, Ontario's rental landscape has shifted in meaningful ways. Whether you own an investment property, rent out a basement unit, or are a tenant in Guelph and the surrounding area, these updates affect how tenancies are managed, how disputes are resolved, and how quickly timelines move. Here is a clear overview of what has changed and what it means for you. The Background The second wave of amendments under Bill 60 and Bill 97 took effect on September 21, 2026, introducing shorter eviction timelines, a codified definition of habitually late rent, financial prerequisites for raising certain issues at hearings, and revised compensation rules for personal use evictions. These follow an earlier round of changes that came into force on July 1. The province's stated goal is to reduce backlogs and speed up disputes at the Landlord and Tenant Board (LTB). Immigration News Canada Unpaid Rent: A Shorter Notice Period When rent goes unpaid, a landlord serves an N4 notice. For an N4 given on or after September 21, 2026, the notice period has been shortened from 14 days to 7 days. Any N4 served before that date must still use the previous 14 day period to be legally valid. A Clear Definition of Persistent Late Payment For the first time, the rules spell out what "persistently late" means. A tenant can now be considered persistently late if they fail to pay rent within seven days of the due date on at least three separate occasions within six months. This gives landlords a specific standard when documenting late payments and pursuing an N8 notice. For tenants, repeated late payments can now create a clearer basis for a landlord to seek to end a tenancy, even if the rent is eventually paid. blogTO MoneySense New Conditions at Non Payment Hearings Tenants facing an arrears hearing have traditionally been able to raise their own concerns, such as maintenance problems, harassment, or illegal entry. For landlord applications made on or after September 21, 2026, a tenant who wants to raise those issues at the hearing must generally pay 50% of the rent arrears claimed. Applications filed before that date continue under the previous rules, even if the hearing happens later. That payment must be made no later than seven days before the hearing. CanooqCanooq Own Use Evictions: A New 120 Day Option Previously, a landlord ending a tenancy so that they or a close family member could move in had to file an N12, give at least 60 days' notice, and pay one month of rent as compensation. Landlords now have a choice. They can continue using the 60 day process, or provide at least 120 days' notice and avoid paying that compensation. NOW Toronto blogTO There are important conditions. To qualify, the N12 must be given on or after September 21, the termination date must be at least 120 days later, and it must fall at the end of a rental period or fixed term. The waiver also has limits: notices where a purchaser intends to move in remain subject to the existing one month compensation requirement. This matters for anyone selling a tenanted property, since the buyer's move in does not qualify for the new exemption. Immigration News CanadaImmigration News Canada The province has also added safeguards against misuse. The landlord or other person named on the N12 must generally occupy the unit within 60 days of the date on the notice. If they do not, the former tenant can bring a bad faith eviction application, and the N12 is presumed to have been given in bad faith unless the landlord can rebut the claim. Moving2Canada Renovations and the Right to Return Some of the new rules give tenants additional rights if they are asked to leave for major renovations or repairs. A tenant who states in writing that they want to return after the work is finished triggers a process the landlord must follow. Moving2Canada Changes That Took Effect July 1 Several updates have already been in place since the summer. For an LTB order issued on or after July 1, 2026, a request to review must generally be made within 15 days rather than 30. Tenants also gained the right to install a window or portable air conditioner with written notice, a mandatory LTB Payment Agreement Form was introduced for repayment plans, and maximum fines doubled to $100,000 for individuals and $500,000 for corporations. Powerhousepm OntarioLandlord What Has Not Changed Two points are worth emphasizing. First, an eviction notice still does not allow a landlord to personally remove a tenant or change the locks. Where an eviction order is required, the landlord must apply to the LTB and follow the legal enforcement process. Second, rent control remains in place. The 2026 rent increase guideline is 2.1% for most rent controlled tenancies, and landlords must generally provide at least 90 days' written notice. Many units first occupied after November 15, 2018 may be exempt from the guideline. Canooq Powerhousepm Practical Steps For landlords, now is the time to update your forms, keep a detailed rent ledger, and review any N12 carefully before serving it, particularly if a sale is involved. For tenants, setting up automatic payments, keeping records of all communication with your landlord, and understanding your rights around renovations and own use notices will help you stay protected. We're Here to Help If you own a rental property, are considering an investment purchase, or are weighing whether to sell a tenanted home, these changes can affect your timing and your strategy. The team at Coldwell Banker Neumann Real Estate is happy to walk you through how the new rules apply to your situation.  This article provides general information only and does not constitute legal advice. For guidance on a specific tenancy matter, please consult a licensed paralegal or lawyer.
September 22, 2026
If you have boxes of old tax returns, bank statements, or paperwork piling up in the basement, here is your chance to clear them out safely and support your community at the same time. Crime Stoppers Guelph Wellington is hosting a shredding event this Saturday, September 26, right here in Guelph. Event Details Date: Saturday, September 26 Time: 9am to 12 noon (or until truck capacity is reached) Location: 201 Woodlawn Rd. W., Guelph Cost: $10 per box (banker box size) All proceeds go directly to Crime Stoppers Guelph Wellington. Why Shredding Matters Identity theft often starts with something as simple as a discarded bill or an old bank statement. Documents with your name, address, account numbers, or signature can be valuable to the wrong person. Tossing them in the recycling bin is not enough. Secure shredding is one of the easiest ways to protect yourself and your family. This event makes it simple. Mobile shredding services are provided by Republic Services, so your documents are destroyed on site. The event is hosted and supported by Skyjack at their Woodlawn Road location. What to Bring Think about the paperwork you no longer need but should not throw away as is: old tax records past the required retention period, bank and credit card statements, pay stubs, medical and insurance paperwork, old utility bills, and any documents with personal or financial information. If you are getting ready to move, downsizing, or just finally tackling that storage room, this is a great opportunity to lighten the load before the season changes. A Tip Before You Go The event runs until noon or until the truck is full, so arriving early is your best bet. Pack your documents in banker size boxes to keep things moving quickly at drop off. Supporting Crime Stoppers Guelph Wellington Crime Stoppers Guelph Wellington helps keep our community safe by allowing people to share information about crime anonymously. Every $10 box you bring helps fund that work. To learn more or to submit an anonymous tip, visit www.csgw.tips or call 1 800 222 TIPS (8477). Clear the clutter, protect your identity, and support a great local cause. We hope to see you there on Saturday!
September 16, 2026
As the leaves begin to change and the air gets a little cooler, Guelph becomes a beautiful place to get outside and enjoy the season. Whether you're looking for a peaceful walk through colourful trees, a fun family outing, or a classic pumpkin-filled fall experience, there are plenty of ways to enjoy autumn right here
September 2, 2026
On September 2, 2026, the Bank of Canada announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%.
Pumpkins on hay
By At The Puslinch Community Centre • August 17, 2026
Get ready for a weekend of family fun, community spirit, and harvest-time traditions at the 184th Annual Aberfoyle Fall Fair , happening September 11 and 12, 2026 , at the Puslinch Community Centre. This year’s theme, “It’s Harvest Time!” , sets the stage for a celebration packed with entertainment and activities for all ages. The fun includes giant inflatables, a rock climbing wall, axe throwing, live music, delicious food vendors, live pets, the famous Antique Tractor Pull, and so much more! Families can also enjoy the spectacular Marvels & Misfits Fire Show and an all-ages Glow Stick Dance Party, while adults can unwind in the licensed Refreshment Tent.  Get Creative for the Display Contest for a Chance to WIN! The fair is also inviting families, friends, neighbours, and coworkers to get creative and help spread the word by putting together a festive harvest-themed display at their home or business. Whether you’re showcasing your garden harvest, creating a fall scene, or bringing your own creative twist to the theme, it’s a great way to bring the community together and build excitement for fair weekend. There are cash prizes up for grabs: 🥇 1st Place: $125 🥈 2nd Place: $100 🥉 3rd Place: $75 All displays must include signage with: Aberfoyle Fall Fair – September 11th & 12th, 2026 – at the Puslinch Community Centre To enter, email Jill Robbers at jillrobbers@gmail.com with your name, contact information, and display address by September 4, 2026 . For 184 years, the Aberfoyle Fall Fair has celebrated agriculture, community, and family traditions. This September, come out and be part of the tradition—make memories, support the community, and celebrate together. Coldwell Banker Neumann is proud to be a sponsor of the Aberfoyle Fall Fair and to support this wonderful community tradition. 📅 September 11 & 12, 2026 📍 Puslinch Community Centre ⏰ Gates open at 5pm on Friday, and 9am on Saturday Come celebrate the harvest and discover everything the Aberfoyle Fall Fair has to offer!
July 16, 2026
Tuesday, July 28, 2026, Elora's Longest BBQ returns to historic downtown Elora for an evening filled with incredible Canadian cuisine. Food Day Canada.
July 15, 2026
Bank of Canada announced it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%.
Jeff Neumann reflects on his early real estate career, the evolution of MLS access, and why trust, e
By Jeff Neumann • June 17, 2026
Jeff Neumann reflects on his early real estate career, and why trust, expertise, and adaptability—not information alone—remain the foundation of long-term success.
June 10, 2026
On June 10, 2026, the Bank of Canada announced it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The decision comes as global uncertainty persists, driven by ongoing geopolitical conflict, energy market volatility, and continued trade policy tensions. Rising oil prices and supply chain disruptions are contributing to inflationary pressure while also weighing on global economic growth. Global Economic Trends Remain Generally Steady In the United States, growth remains solid, supported by consumer spending and AI-related investment. In contrast, the euro area continues to see weaker growth as higher energy costs weigh on activity. China’s economy remains more stable, supported by strong export demand. Global financial conditions have loosened since the last Monetary Policy Report, with strong equity markets and continued volatility in bond yields. The Canadian dollar has also weakened against the US dollar and other major currencies. Canadian Economy Shows Soft Momentum Recent data shows the Canadian economy contracted slightly in the first quarter, with GDP edging down by 0.1%. While consumer spending increased, declines in government spending, housing activity, business investment, and exports weighed on overall growth. Employment increased in May, but overall labour market conditions remain soft, with unemployment holding between 6.5% and 7%. Even with expected near-term improvements, the economy is still projected to operate with excess supply. Inflation Remains Elevated but Moderating CPI inflation rose to 2.8% in April, largely driven by higher energy prices, including oil and the removal of the consumer carbon tax from the year-over-year comparison. Core inflation has eased closer to 2%, and broader price pressures remain more contained. Food inflation has moderated but remains elevated, while shelter inflation continues to ease. Overall inflation is expected to remain near 3% in the near term before gradually moving back toward the Bank’s 2% target. Policy Decision And Outlook Against this backdrop, the Governing Council decided to maintain the policy rate at 2.25%. The Bank noted ongoing weakness in domestic growth, persistent global uncertainty, and elevated energy prices. While it continues to look through short-term inflation impacts from energy, it emphasized it will not allow these pressures to become entrenched in long-term inflation trends. The Bank remains committed to supporting price stability and will respond as needed as economic conditions evolve. Looking Ahead  The next scheduled announcement for the overnight rate is July 15, 2026, when the Bank will also release its next Monetary Policy Report. Until then, borrowing conditions are expected to remain relatively steady as markets continue to adjust to evolving global and domestic economic signals. Have questions about how this may impact your buying or selling plans? Contact us today to discuss your next steps in today's market.
More Posts